Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 7.819930 8.616256 9.466945 10.444721 11.539254 12.728659 14.121604
2025-10-26 6.360199 7.406649 8.596975 10.056543 11.805275 13.842067 16.406980
2025-11-02 5.325755 6.500914 7.911516 9.741306 12.069181 14.954550 18.836953
2025-11-09 4.553968 5.791456 7.348593 9.472014 12.323408 16.064225 21.416775
2025-11-16 3.980200 5.248853 6.913658 9.288524 12.638628 17.270476 24.291113
2025-11-23 3.547640 4.833334 6.585653 9.190227 13.035168 18.617940 27.554190
2025-11-30 3.273159 4.597349 6.467578 9.358021 13.815074 20.601416 32.062479
2025-12-07 2.972176 4.287322 6.203812 9.270006 14.186159 22.000085 35.860771
2025-12-14 2.684069 3.964310 5.882647 9.048614 14.307257 23.000305 39.136858
2025-12-21 2.476707 3.741217 5.687091 8.995942 14.683525 24.454093 43.424608
2025-12-28 2.354381 3.636959 5.663847 9.215779 15.537299 26.832913 49.809493
2026-01-04 2.241632 3.536086 5.633490 9.415138 16.372393 29.283633 56.762855
2026-01-11 2.102642 3.382839 5.506644 9.440933 16.912511 31.294590 63.287541
2026-01-18 1.957236 3.206218 5.323615 9.345389 17.212223 32.883758 69.237442
2026-01-25 1.821312 3.034301 5.132884 9.214119 17.424523 34.326515 75.155771
2026-02-01 1.696061 2.870682 4.942095 9.061438 17.572905 35.655180 81.083125
2026-02-08 1.588983 2.730784 4.781878 8.950322 17.791316 37.165450 87.775359
2026-02-15 1.499528 2.615724 4.657438 8.896440 18.122800 38.976707 95.634251
2026-02-22 1.448018 2.566486 4.652514 9.084616 19.006372 42.204434 108.027561
2026-03-01 1.370277 2.461777 4.531434 9.016351 19.302073 44.066915 117.055566
2026-03-08 1.283943 2.334349 4.355395 8.812340 19.256882 45.075304 123.832599
2026-03-15 1.221829 2.249439 4.257284 8.767921 19.583650 47.083888 134.144663
2026-03-22 1.190760 2.223351 4.276227 8.985814 20.577598 51.019161 151.624632